The analysis of electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit employing a NARMAX approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Online NARMAX model for electron fluxes at GEO
Multi-input single-output (MISO) nonlinear autoregressive moving average with exogenous inputs (NARMAX) models have been derived to forecast the > 0.8 MeV and > 2 MeV electron fluxes at geostationary Earth orbit (GEO). The NARMAX algorithm is able to identify mathematical model for a wide class of nonlinear systems from input–output data. The models employ solar wind parameters as inputs to pro...
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[1] A strong correlation between the behavior of low-energy (tens to hundreds of keV) and high-energy (>1 MeV) electron fluxes measured at geosynchronous orbit has been discussed, and this correlation is further enhanced when a time offset is taken into account. A model has been developed incorporating this delay time between similar features in lowand high-energy electron fluxes to forecast th...
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[1] We present a comprehensive study of plasma properties at geosynchronous orbit for electron and ion energies between 1 eV and 45 keV, between 1990 and 2001. The variations of temperature and density are analyzed as functions of local time, magnetospheric convection strength, and the strength of the ring current. Various parameters derived from temperature and density are calculated to elucid...
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Data-derived forecasting model for relativistic electron intensity at geosynchronous orbit
[1] In this paper we present a data-derived model of relativistic electron flux at geosynchronous orbit. The model is driven by multiple solar wind and magnetospheric inputs and combines the deterministic approach of nonlinear dynamics with conditional probability consideration. The model is used for one-day predictions of daily flux maxima for the years 1995–2000. The deterministic part of the...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics
سال: 2013
ISSN: 2169-9380
DOI: 10.1002/jgra.50192